2012 ILS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

23.0731 KES

YEARLY LOW

20.6490 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

21.9345 KES

2012 ILS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ILS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 23.0731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 26, dropping to 20.6490.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4241 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.6067 to the December average rate of 22.7553, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 23.0731 was down 19.82% compared to the 2011 peak of 28.7765, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 115,366 KES

2011 Average 124,088 KES

Yearly Trough Low 103,245 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,120.33 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

22.9352

20.7760

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.1426, compared to 21.7263 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4163 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.1426

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.7263

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.9011 KES (High: 22.4756 / Low: 21.5745). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2389 KES (High: 22.3391 / Low: 22.1002).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.9011

April Spread (Stable) ±0.2389

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6761 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6761

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 22.7553) against the same month in 2011 (average: 22.8941), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1388 (-0.61%).

2012 Avg (December) 22.7553

2011 Avg (December) 22.8941

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.8750	22.2684	22.6067
February	22.5555	21.9127	22.2259
March	22.3335	21.6661	22.0272
April	22.3391	22.1002	22.1790
May	22.3608	21.8067	22.0253
June	22.1450	21.3359	21.7916
July	21.5414	20.6490	21.1155
August	21.2615	20.6786	20.9559
September	21.8301	20.9514	21.4750
October	22.3865	21.7836	22.0994
November	22.4756	21.5745	21.9570
December	23.0731	22.4519	22.7553