2013 ILS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

24.9691 KES

YEARLY LOW

22.8220 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

23.8652 KES

2013 ILS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ILS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 18, valuing the pair at 24.9691. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 26, dropping to 22.8220.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1471 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.2580 to the December average rate of 24.6438, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 24.9691 was up 8.22% compared to the 2012 peak of 23.0731, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 124,846 KES

2012 Average 109,669 KES

Yearly Trough Low 114,110 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,735.57 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

24.7927

23.0059

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 23.3660, compared to 24.3644 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9984 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 23.3660

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.3644

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was September, with a trading range of 1.0414 KES (High: 24.9691 / Low: 23.9277). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4017 KES (High: 23.4858 / Low: 23.0841).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.0414

April Spread (Stable) ±0.4017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3895 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3895

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2013: 24.4896) against the same month in 2012 (average: 21.4750), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0146 (+14.04%).

2013 Avg (September) 24.4896

2012 Avg (September) 21.4750

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	23.5708	22.9160	23.2580
February	23.8573	23.2176	23.6691
March	23.6637	22.9360	23.3002
April	23.4858	23.0841	23.2624
May	23.5522	22.8220	23.1548
June	23.8393	23.0699	23.5512
July	24.5146	23.6162	24.1168
August	24.7347	23.9869	24.4715
September	24.9691	23.9277	24.4896
October	24.5075	23.8912	24.1001
November	24.6570	24.1625	24.3647
December	24.8841	24.4591	24.6438