2018 ILS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

30.3340 KES

YEARLY LOW

26.8924 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

28.2022 KES

2018 ILS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ILS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 30.3340. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 26.8924.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4416 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.0721 to the December average rate of 27.2253, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 30.3340 was up 1.72% compared to the 2017 peak of 29.8217, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 151,670 KES

2017 Average 143,828 KES

Yearly Trough Low 134,462 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,208.19 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

30.3567

26.9406

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.7948, compared to 27.6095 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1853 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.7948

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.6095

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 1.1581 KES (High: 29.7196 / Low: 28.5615). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4078 KES (High: 27.8373 / Low: 27.4295).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.1581

July Spread (Stable) ±0.4078

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.0806 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0806

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 30.0721) against the same month in 2017 (average: 27.1867), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8854 (+10.61%).

2018 Avg (January) 30.0721

2017 Avg (January) 27.1867

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	30.3340	29.6506	30.0721
February	29.7196	28.5615	28.9915
March	29.5469	28.7215	29.1863
April	28.8517	27.8491	28.4362
May	28.4948	27.6693	28.0534
June	28.4975	27.5972	28.0293
July	27.8373	27.4295	27.6316
August	27.9143	27.0375	27.4740
September	28.3684	27.6827	28.0746
October	27.8402	27.3421	27.6356
November	27.8392	27.3601	27.6160
December	27.5625	26.8924	27.2253