2016 ILS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

27.0272 KES

YEARLY LOW

25.7190 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

26.4465 KES

2016 ILS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ILS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 1, valuing the pair at 27.0272. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 25.7190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3082 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.9266 to the December average rate of 26.6639, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 27.0272 was down 1.33% compared to the 2015 peak of 27.3908, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 135,136 KES

2015 Average 126,491 KES

Yearly Trough Low 128,595 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,540.88 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

26.9929

25.8296

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.2954, compared to 26.5976 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3021 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.2954

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.5976

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 1.0676 KES (High: 26.9566 / Low: 25.8890). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2746 KES (High: 27.0202 / Low: 26.7456).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0676

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2746

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.4172 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4172

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 26.4260) against the same month in 2015 (average: 24.9370), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4890 (+5.97%).

2016 Avg (May) 26.4260

2015 Avg (May) 24.9370

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	26.3347	25.7190	25.9266
February	26.3229	25.8464	26.1133
March	26.9566	25.8890	26.2557
April	27.0262	26.6424	26.8432
May	27.0272	25.9756	26.4260
June	26.4256	26.0026	26.2079
July	26.5858	26.0362	26.2799
August	26.9648	26.4072	26.7133
September	27.0202	26.7456	26.8960
October	27.0093	26.2512	26.5411
November	26.8113	26.2211	26.4911
December	26.8595	26.3865	26.6639