2012 KES to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6815 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.5796 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6235 BTN

2012 KES to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 22, valuing the pair at 0.6815. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 0.5796.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1018 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5947 to the December average rate of 0.6358, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.6815 was up 7.36% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.6347, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,407 BTN

2011 Average 2,636 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 2,898 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 509.20 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.6672

0.5863

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6205, compared to 0.6264 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0059 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6205

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6264

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0573 BTN (High: 0.6647 / Low: 0.6074). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 BTN (High: 0.6142 / Low: 0.6096).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0573

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0254 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0254

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 0.6605) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.5042), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1563 (+31.00%).

2012 Avg (June) 0.6605

2011 Avg (June) 0.5042

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6261	0.5796	0.5947
February	0.6059	0.5821	0.5931
March	0.6169	0.5952	0.6075
April	0.6340	0.6088	0.6219
May	0.6588	0.6340	0.6453
June	0.6815	0.6450	0.6605
July	0.6647	0.6074	0.6351
August	0.6142	0.6096	0.6118
September	0.6393	0.5864	0.6133
October	0.6339	0.5841	0.6223
November	0.6489	0.6282	0.6403
December	0.6413	0.6304	0.6358