2015 KES to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6990 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.6168 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6539 BTN

2015 KES to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.6990. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 0.6168.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0823 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6811 to the December average rate of 0.6513, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.6990 was down 4.85% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.7346, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,495 BTN

2014 Average 3,470 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 3,084 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 411.26 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.6864

0.6226

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6708, compared to 0.6369 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0339 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6708

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6369

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.0301 BTN (High: 0.6990 / Low: 0.6689). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0080 BTN (High: 0.6820 / Low: 0.6741).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0301

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0080

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0245 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.6811) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.7196), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0385 (-5.35%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.6811

2014 Avg (January) 0.7196

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6990	0.6689	0.6811
February	0.6820	0.6741	0.6782
March	0.6866	0.6757	0.6807
April	0.6767	0.6664	0.6713
May	0.6717	0.6469	0.6613
June	0.6644	0.6416	0.6524
July	0.6411	0.6168	0.6279
August	0.6411	0.6259	0.6344
September	0.6372	0.6239	0.6285
October	0.6406	0.6275	0.6329
November	0.6546	0.6398	0.6465
December	0.6583	0.6466	0.6513