2014 KES to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7346 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.6653 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6941 BTN

2014 KES to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 0.7346. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 24, dropping to 0.6653.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0693 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7196 to the December average rate of 0.6939, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.7346 was down 4.97% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.7730, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,673 BTN

2013 Average 3,400 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 3,326 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 346.53 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.7255

0.6748

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7003, compared to 0.6878 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0125 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7003

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6878

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.0286 BTN (High: 0.6939 / Low: 0.6653). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0053 BTN (High: 0.6881 / Low: 0.6828).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0286

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0053

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0165 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0165

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.7196) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.6250), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0946 (+15.14%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.7196

2013 Avg (January) 0.6250

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7346	0.7135	0.7196
February	0.7261	0.7168	0.7213
March	0.7171	0.6906	0.7048
April	0.7025	0.6920	0.6955
May	0.6939	0.6653	0.6790
June	0.6891	0.6736	0.6817
July	0.6886	0.6802	0.6843
August	0.6977	0.6832	0.6904
September	0.6911	0.6806	0.6847
October	0.6933	0.6848	0.6880
November	0.6881	0.6828	0.6858
December	0.7030	0.6836	0.6939