2021 KES to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7053 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.6573 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6736 BTN

2021 KES to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 0.7053. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.6573.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0480 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6651 to the December average rate of 0.6665, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.7053 was down 2.86% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.7260, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,526 BTN

2020 Average 3,480 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 3,286 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 239.97 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.6911

0.6601

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6738, compared to 0.6735 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0003 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6738

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6735

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0329 BTN (High: 0.7053 / Low: 0.6724). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0077 BTN (High: 0.6662 / Low: 0.6586).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0329

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0077

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0110 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0110

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 0.6883) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.7152), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0269 (-3.76%).

2021 Avg (April) 0.6883

2020 Avg (April) 0.7152

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6697	0.6603	0.6651
February	0.6662	0.6586	0.6627
March	0.6713	0.6574	0.6627
April	0.7053	0.6724	0.6883
May	0.6911	0.6724	0.6814
June	0.6896	0.6747	0.6823
July	0.6919	0.6838	0.6885
August	0.6845	0.6639	0.6785
September	0.6715	0.6636	0.6675
October	0.6812	0.6705	0.6752
November	0.6731	0.6607	0.6646
December	0.6759	0.6573	0.6665