2019 KES to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7165 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.6606 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6900 BTN

2019 KES to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 0.7165. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 0.6606.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0558 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6953 to the December average rate of 0.7017, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.7165 was down 2.64% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.7359, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,582 BTN

2018 Average 3,376 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 3,303 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 279.21 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.7139

0.6615

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6929, compared to 0.6872 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0056 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6929

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6872

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 0.0270 BTN (High: 0.7074 / Low: 0.6805). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0080 BTN (High: 0.6898 / Low: 0.6818).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0270

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0080

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0173 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0173

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 0.7095) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.6348), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0747 (+11.77%).

2019 Avg (February) 0.7095

2018 Avg (February) 0.6348

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7084	0.6821	0.6953
February	0.7165	0.7037	0.7095
March	0.7074	0.6805	0.6923
April	0.6913	0.6808	0.6874
May	0.6970	0.6855	0.6895
June	0.6893	0.6755	0.6831
July	0.6749	0.6606	0.6659
August	0.6952	0.6690	0.6864
September	0.6962	0.6791	0.6865
October	0.6898	0.6818	0.6849
November	0.7099	0.6847	0.6980
December	0.7079	0.6957	0.7017