2011 KES to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2067 ETB

YEARLY LOW

0.1486 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1793 ETB

2011 KES to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 0.2067. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 0.1486.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0581 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1572 to the December average rate of 0.1998, the exchange rate registered a net change of 27.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.2067 was up 30.53% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.1584, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,034 ETB

2010 Average 733 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 743 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 290.42 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.2046

0.1469

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1745, compared to 0.1840 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1745

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1840

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 0.0495 ETB (High: 0.2027 / Low: 0.1532). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0010 ETB (High: 0.1576 / Low: 0.1566).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0495

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0010

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0081 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0081

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.1998) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.1577), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0421 (+26.67%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.1998

2010 Avg (December) 0.1577

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1576	0.1566	0.1572
February	0.1574	0.1550	0.1565
March	0.1543	0.1486	0.1517
April	0.2027	0.1532	0.1941
May	0.2021	0.1941	0.1974
June	0.1961	0.1850	0.1901
July	0.1919	0.1866	0.1890
August	0.1866	0.1793	0.1836
September	0.1823	0.1663	0.1777
October	0.1727	0.1611	0.1696
November	0.1933	0.1742	0.1845
December	0.2067	0.1915	0.1998