2018 KES to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2795 ETB

YEARLY LOW

0.2643 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2732 ETB

2018 KES to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.2795. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.2643.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0153 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2669 to the December average rate of 0.2759, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2795 was up 4.72% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2669, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,398 ETB

2017 Average 1,159 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 1,321 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 76.31 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2768

0.2660

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2715, compared to 0.2748 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0033 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2715

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2748

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0077 ETB (High: 0.2795 / Low: 0.2719). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 ETB (High: 0.2739 / Low: 0.2719).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0077

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.2759) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2654), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0106 (+3.98%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.2759

2017 Avg (December) 0.2654

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2694	0.2643	0.2669
February	0.2736	0.2689	0.2712
March	0.2736	0.2708	0.2718
April	0.2755	0.2707	0.2731
May	0.2748	0.2711	0.2734
June	0.2739	0.2719	0.2728
July	0.2767	0.2718	0.2739
August	0.2761	0.2729	0.2745
September	0.2769	0.2728	0.2750
October	0.2775	0.2723	0.2758
November	0.2774	0.2705	0.2737
December	0.2795	0.2719	0.2759