YEARLY HIGH
0.3170 ETB
YEARLY LOW
0.2758 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2864 ETB

2019 KES to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 0.3170. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.2758.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0412 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2792 to the December average rate of 0.3104, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.3170 was up 13.42% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.2795, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,585 ETB
2018 Average 1,366 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 1,379 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 205.96 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3135
0.2761
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2838, compared to 0.2890 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0052 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2838
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2890

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.0189 ETB (High: 0.3170 / Low: 0.2981). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0040 ETB (High: 0.2857 / Low: 0.2817).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0189
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0040

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.3104) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.2759), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0345 (+12.50%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.3104
2018 Avg (December) 0.2759

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2834 0.2758 0.2792
February 0.2857 0.2817 0.2841
March 0.2877 0.2814 0.2844
April 0.2872 0.2817 0.2848
May 0.2872 0.2830 0.2855
June 0.2877 0.2806 0.2848
July 0.2837 0.2777 0.2807
August 0.2853 0.2787 0.2824
September 0.2846 0.2802 0.2832
October 0.2878 0.2812 0.2850
November 0.2983 0.2865 0.2924
December 0.3170 0.2981 0.3104