YEARLY HIGH
2.0005 ETB
YEARLY LOW
0.3572 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4035 ETB

2021 KES to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 2.0005. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 14, dropping to 0.3572.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6433 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3586 to the December average rate of 0.4810, the exchange rate registered a net change of 34.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.0005 was up 454.02% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.3611, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,003 ETB
2020 Average 1,640 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 1,786 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,216.29 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.4932
0.3463
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3795, compared to 0.4276 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0481 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3795
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4276

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 1.5755 ETB (High: 2.0005 / Low: 0.4250). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0032 ETB (High: 0.3604 / Low: 0.3572).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.5755
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0032

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 0.4810) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.3503), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1306 (+37.29%).

2021 Avg (December) 0.4810
2020 Avg (December) 0.3503

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3604 0.3572 0.3586
February 0.3675 0.3585 0.3633
March 0.3765 0.3658 0.3691
April 0.3898 0.3766 0.3856
May 0.4041 0.3887 0.3968
June 0.4068 0.3999 0.4034
July 0.4092 0.4042 0.4074
August 0.4157 0.4061 0.4129
September 0.4221 0.4141 0.4182
October 0.4263 0.4181 0.4218
November 0.4287 0.4200 0.4242
December 2.0005 0.4250 0.4810