YEARLY HIGH
0.2209 ETB
YEARLY LOW
0.2068 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2151 ETB

2016 KES to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 0.2209. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.2068.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0140 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2076 to the December average rate of 0.2192, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2209 was down 1.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2239, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,104 ETB
2015 Average 1,055 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 1,034 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 70.06 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2205
0.2064
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2119, compared to 0.2184 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0065 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2119
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.0039 ETB (High: 0.2173 / Low: 0.2134). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0013 ETB (High: 0.2181 / Low: 0.2167).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0039
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 10 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 10 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.2192) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2066), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0126 (+6.10%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.2192
2015 Avg (December) 0.2066

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2082 0.2068 0.2076
February 0.2098 0.2073 0.2091
March 0.2123 0.2100 0.2108
April 0.2139 0.2118 0.2129
May 0.2173 0.2134 0.2152
June 0.2163 0.2148 0.2156
July 0.2178 0.2160 0.2167
August 0.2181 0.2167 0.2176
September 0.2192 0.2174 0.2183
October 0.2200 0.2183 0.2191
November 0.2202 0.2187 0.2193
December 0.2209 0.2174 0.2192