2011 KES to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8968 LRD

YEARLY LOW

0.6814 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8161 LRD

2011 KES to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 0.8968. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.6814.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2154 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8852 to the December average rate of 0.8348, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.8968 was down 6.20% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.9560, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,484 LRD

2010 Average 4,471 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 3,407 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,077.06 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.9059

0.6975

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8573, compared to 0.7749 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0824 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8573

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7749

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0746 LRD (High: 0.8681 / Low: 0.7935). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0153 LRD (High: 0.8955 / Low: 0.8802).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0746

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0153

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0330 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0330

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.8852) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.9284), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0432 (-4.65%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.8852

2010 Avg (January) 0.9284

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8968	0.8646	0.8852
February	0.8955	0.8802	0.8885
March	0.8761	0.8396	0.8555
April	0.8693	0.8459	0.8566
May	0.8706	0.8239	0.8448
June	0.8383	0.7869	0.8131
July	0.8183	0.7956	0.8068
August	0.7951	0.7582	0.7779
September	0.7735	0.7001	0.7469
October	0.7287	0.6814	0.7148
November	0.8044	0.7321	0.7684
December	0.8681	0.7935	0.8348