YEARLY HIGH
0.9351 LRD
YEARLY LOW
0.8215 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8799 LRD

2016 KES to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 20, valuing the pair at 0.9351. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 0.8215.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1136 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8361 to the December average rate of 0.8999, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9351 was down 7.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0085, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,676 LRD
2015 Average 4,384 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 4,108 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 567.93 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9129
0.8213
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8602, compared to 0.8996 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0394 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8602
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8996

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.0622 LRD (High: 0.8955 / Low: 0.8332). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0052 LRD (High: 0.8379 / Low: 0.8327).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0622
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0052

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0081 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0081

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 0.9053) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8467), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0586 (+6.92%).

2016 Avg (August) 0.9053
2015 Avg (August) 0.8467

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8737 0.8240 0.8361
February 0.8331 0.8215 0.8290
March 0.8379 0.8327 0.8345
April 0.8955 0.8332 0.8689
May 0.9014 0.8953 0.8983
June 0.8974 0.8916 0.8948
July 0.8955 0.8886 0.8914
August 0.9351 0.8893 0.9053
September 0.9090 0.9006 0.9036
October 0.9102 0.8890 0.9028
November 0.9008 0.8893 0.8947
December 0.9139 0.8884 0.8999