YEARLY HIGH
1.6160 LRD
YEARLY LOW
1.2505 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5178 LRD

2021 KES to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 14, valuing the pair at 1.6160. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 1.2505.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3656 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5309 to the December average rate of 1.2620, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.6160 was down 17.61% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.9615, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,080 LRD
2020 Average 9,016 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 6,252 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,827.82 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.6326
1.2283
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5791, compared to 1.4566 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1225 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5791
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4566

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.1860 LRD (High: 1.5475 / Low: 1.3615). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0050 LRD (High: 1.5921 / Low: 1.5871).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1860
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0050

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1768 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1768

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 1.5988) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.8609), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2621 (-14.08%).

2021 Avg (April) 1.5988
2020 Avg (April) 1.8609

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5524 1.4966 1.5309
February 1.5804 1.5527 1.5737
March 1.5878 1.5766 1.5824
April 1.6160 1.5886 1.5988
May 1.6136 1.5857 1.5989
June 1.5921 1.5871 1.5899
July 1.5918 1.5804 1.5866
August 1.5807 1.5644 1.5708
September 1.5637 1.5475 1.5568
October 1.5475 1.3615 1.4700
November 1.3490 1.2616 1.2932
December 1.2826 1.2505 1.2620