2018 KES to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6101 LRD

YEARLY LOW

1.1922 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4211 LRD

2018 KES to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 17, valuing the pair at 1.6101. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 1.1922.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4179 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2332 to the December average rate of 1.5422, the exchange rate registered a net change of 25.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.6101 was up 31.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2209, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,051 LRD

2017 Average 5,053 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 5,961 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,089.70 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5813

1.2016

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3030, compared to 1.5393 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2363 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3030

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5393

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.1244 LRD (High: 1.6101 / Low: 1.4857). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0165 LRD (High: 1.5500 / Low: 1.5334).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1244

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0165

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0180 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0180

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 1.5423) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8932), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6491 (+72.68%).

2018 Avg (July) 1.5423

2017 Avg (July) 0.8932

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2633	1.1988	1.2332
February	1.2885	1.1922	1.2453
March	1.3062	1.2867	1.2958
April	1.3111	1.2941	1.3031
May	1.3638	1.3030	1.3302
June	1.4857	1.3641	1.4101
July	1.6101	1.4857	1.5423
August	1.5334	1.5064	1.5243
September	1.5847	1.5269	1.5354
October	1.5578	1.5369	1.5497
November	1.5530	1.5323	1.5420
December	1.5500	1.5334	1.5422