YEARLY HIGH
0.0697 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.0596 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0645 VEF

2015 KES to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.0697. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 7, dropping to 0.0596.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0101 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0691 to the December average rate of 0.0618, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0697 was down 5.28% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0736, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 349 VEF
2014 Average 358 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 298 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 50.46 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0701
0.0590
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0675, compared to 0.0615 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0060 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0675
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0615

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was May, with a trading range of 0.0023 VEF (High: 0.0667 / Low: 0.0644). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 VEF (High: 0.0692 / Low: 0.0688).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0023
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0022 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0022

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.0691) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0729), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0038 (-5.22%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.0691
2014 Avg (January) 0.0729

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0697 0.0687 0.0691
February 0.0692 0.0688 0.0690
March 0.0694 0.0684 0.0688
April 0.0687 0.0668 0.0677
May 0.0667 0.0644 0.0656
June 0.0656 0.0636 0.0646
July 0.0637 0.0616 0.0624
August 0.0626 0.0608 0.0617
September 0.0608 0.0596 0.0600
October 0.0623 0.0605 0.0615
November 0.0620 0.0616 0.0618
December 0.0622 0.0617 0.0618