YEARLY HIGH
2476.2097 VEF
YEARLY LOW
2226.5918 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2335.7993 VEF

2020 KES to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KES to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 2476.2097. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 2226.5918.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 249.6179 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2458.0871 to the December average rate of 2248.9706, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 2476.2097 was down 0.77% compared to the 2019 peak of 2495.3569, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,381,048 VEF
2019 Average 12,183,009 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 11,132,959 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,248,089.56 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

2485.8882
2227.4326
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2385.9604, compared to 2285.6381 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 100.3223 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2385.9604
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2285.6381

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 121.1130 VEF (High: 2456.5269 / Low: 2335.4139). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.6045 VEF (High: 2294.8619 / Low: 2287.2574).

March Spread (Volatile) ±121.1130
September Spread (Stable) ±7.6045

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 69.6759 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -69.6759

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 2458.0871) against the same month in 2019 (average: 2446.3931), the exchange rate shifted by +11.6940 (+0.48%).

2020 Avg (January) 2458.0871
2019 Avg (January) 2446.3931

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2476.2097 2442.3512 2458.0871
February 2476.2097 2455.6613 2464.3502
March 2456.5269 2335.4139 2394.6742
April 2362.0498 2315.7859 2334.3529
May 2353.1315 2315.8215 2328.7938
June 2342.0136 2326.6633 2335.5043
July 2334.3132 2300.5985 2315.3622
August 2306.1498 2289.9976 2298.1333
September 2294.8619 2287.2574 2291.5008
October 2291.4759 2282.8447 2287.0316
November 2285.5743 2256.9268 2272.8302
December 2284.9557 2226.5918 2248.9706