2019 KES to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2495.3569 VEF

YEARLY LOW

2384.6153 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2436.8893 VEF

2019 KES to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 10, valuing the pair at 2495.3569. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 2384.6153.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 110.7417 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2446.3931 to the December average rate of 2449.8159, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2495.3569 was up 1.09% compared to the 2018 peak of 2468.4270, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,476,785 VEF

2018 Average 6,288,294 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 11,923,076 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 553,708.36 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2487.8063

2386.5096

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2459.8659, compared to 2413.9127 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 45.9532 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2459.8659

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2413.9127

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 51.3630 VEF (High: 2456.6252 / Low: 2405.2622). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.7082 VEF (High: 2462.8274 / Low: 2449.1193).

November Spread (Volatile) ±51.3630

May Spread (Stable) ±13.7082

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 36.2633 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -36.2633

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 2475.8142) against the same month in 2018 (average: 359.6910), the exchange rate shifted by +2116.1232 (+588.32%).

2019 Avg (March) 2475.8142

2018 Avg (March) 359.6910

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2476.9502	2431.2191	2446.3931
February	2483.6540	2466.8683	2479.3649
March	2495.3569	2460.0301	2475.8142
April	2469.0743	2445.6603	2457.9388
May	2462.8274	2449.1193	2455.7767
June	2456.8681	2427.8226	2443.9076
July	2430.4347	2384.6153	2407.6443
August	2412.7356	2398.2979	2406.0207
September	2413.6731	2390.4427	2394.9510
October	2408.3369	2391.3737	2396.7503
November	2456.6252	2405.2622	2428.2940
December	2470.0561	2419.3130	2449.8159