2016 KES to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0993 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.0614 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0893 VEF

2016 KES to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 8, valuing the pair at 0.0993. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 0.0614.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0379 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0617 to the December average rate of 0.0978, the exchange rate registered a net change of 58.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0993 was up 42.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0697, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 497 VEF

2015 Average 322 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 307 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 189.73 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1027

0.0580

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0804, compared to 0.0983 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0179 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0804

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0983

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0010 VEF (High: 0.0993 / Low: 0.0982). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 VEF (High: 0.0986 / Low: 0.0985).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0010

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0004 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.0990) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0656), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0334 (+50.89%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.0990

2015 Avg (May) 0.0656

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0621	0.0614	0.0617
February	0.0622	0.0617	0.0620
March	0.0626	0.0622	0.0623
April	0.0987	0.0982	0.0985
May	0.0993	0.0986	0.0990
June	0.0989	0.0984	0.0986
July	0.0993	0.0982	0.0985
August	0.0985	0.0981	0.0984
September	0.0986	0.0985	0.0985
October	0.0988	0.0983	0.0985
November	0.0983	0.0980	0.0981
December	0.0981	0.0975	0.0978