YEARLY HIGH
2468.4270 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.0963 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1251.9097 VEF

2018 KES to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 2468.4270. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.0963.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2468.3307 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0982 to the December average rate of 2431.5634, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2475424.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2468.4270 was up 2331322.59% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1059, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,342,135 VEF
2017 Average 488 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 481 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,341,653.31 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2710.2227
-246.2767
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 421.7182, compared to 2082.1012 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1660.3829 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 421.7182
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2082.1012

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1409.5052 VEF (High: 2467.9351 / Low: 1058.4300). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0061 VEF (High: 0.1024 / Low: 0.0963).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1409.5052
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0061

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 29.1405 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -29.1405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 2458.0582) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0977), the exchange rate shifted by +2457.9605 (+2515359.58%).

2018 Avg (October) 2458.0582
2017 Avg (October) 0.0977

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1024 0.0963 0.0982
February 285.8807 0.0980 161.1327
March 399.4233 285.2972 359.6910
April 668.0386 398.0367 497.7809
May 789.4854 684.6879 720.6027
June 793.1820 788.0151 791.0040
July 1065.2594 790.2832 904.7125
August 2467.9351 1058.4300 1805.5076
September 2468.1115 2455.6042 2463.8477
October 2468.4270 2438.1485 2458.0582
November 2452.3382 2407.9568 2428.9177
December 2452.0194 2421.6708 2431.5634