2011 KES to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1746 VUV

YEARLY LOW

0.8736 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0321 VUV

2011 KES to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 1.1746. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.8736.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3010 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1578 to the December average rate of 1.0737, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.1746 was down 9.62% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.2997, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,873 VUV

2010 Average 6,134 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 4,368 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,504.90 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.1828

0.8833

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0908, compared to 0.9735 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1173 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0908

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9735

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.1429 VUV (High: 1.0536 / Low: 0.9106). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0237 VUV (High: 1.1562 / Low: 1.1325).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1429

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0237

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0502 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0502

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 1.1578) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.2691), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1113 (-8.77%).

2011 Avg (January) 1.1578

2010 Avg (January) 1.2691

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1746	1.1393	1.1578
February	1.1562	1.1325	1.1446
March	1.1235	1.0795	1.1079
April	1.1055	1.0618	1.0888
May	1.0768	1.0241	1.0479
June	1.0442	0.9623	0.9977
July	1.0031	0.9479	0.9808
August	0.9837	0.9381	0.9610
September	0.9591	0.8870	0.9353
October	0.9240	0.8736	0.9083
November	1.0536	0.9106	0.9817
December	1.1266	1.0120	1.0737