YEARLY HIGH
1.1047 VUV
YEARLY LOW
1.0062 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0654 VUV

2018 KES to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.1047. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 1.0062.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0986 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0230 to the December average rate of 1.0846, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.1047 was up 2.42% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0786, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,524 VUV
2017 Average 5,171 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 5,031 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 492.78 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.1059
1.0155
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0479, compared to 1.0829 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0351 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0479
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0829

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0448 VUV (High: 1.0558 / Low: 1.0111). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0055 VUV (High: 1.0777 / Low: 1.0723).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0448
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0055

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0156 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0156

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 1.0984) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.0206), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0778 (+7.62%).

2018 Avg (October) 1.0984
2017 Avg (October) 1.0206

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0306 1.0062 1.0230
February 1.0558 1.0111 1.0350
March 1.0544 1.0343 1.0423
April 1.0644 1.0393 1.0523
May 1.0849 1.0578 1.0700
June 1.0825 1.0547 1.0645
July 1.0913 1.0674 1.0784
August 1.0814 1.0748 1.0777
September 1.0777 1.0723 1.0759
October 1.1047 1.0737 1.0984
November 1.0996 1.0750 1.0827
December 1.0975 1.0718 1.0846