2013 KES to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1309 VUV

YEARLY LOW

1.0218 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0901 VUV

2013 KES to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 1.1309. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 1.0218.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1091 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0414 to the December average rate of 1.1132, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.1309 was down 0.81% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.1401, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,654 VUV

2012 Average 5,405 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 5,109 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 545.36 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.1215

1.0227

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0726, compared to 1.1075 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0349 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0726

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1075

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.0399 VUV (High: 1.1309 / Low: 1.0910). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0195 VUV (High: 1.1192 / Low: 1.0997).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0399

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0104 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0104

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 1.1132) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.0579), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0554 (+5.23%).

2013 Avg (December) 1.1132

2012 Avg (December) 1.0579

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0589	1.0218	1.0414
February	1.0561	1.0231	1.0309
March	1.0769	1.0538	1.0670
April	1.0973	1.0725	1.0856
May	1.1112	1.0885	1.1021
June	1.1225	1.0927	1.1087
July	1.1179	1.0951	1.1087
August	1.1192	1.0997	1.1092
September	1.1192	1.0877	1.1015
October	1.1238	1.0992	1.1100
November	1.1204	1.0922	1.1025
December	1.1309	1.0910	1.1132