2012 KES to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1401 VUV

YEARLY LOW

1.0480 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0809 VUV

2012 KES to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 13, valuing the pair at 1.1401. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 1.0480.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0921 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0700 to the December average rate of 1.0579, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.1401 was down 2.94% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.1746, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,700 VUV

2011 Average 5,158 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 5,240 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 460.43 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.1105

1.0531

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0857, compared to 1.0762 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0857

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0762

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.0528 VUV (High: 1.1401 / Low: 1.0873). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0157 VUV (High: 1.0801 / Low: 1.0644).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0528

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0157

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0203 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0203

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 1.1058) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.9977), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1081 (+10.83%).

2012 Avg (June) 1.1058

2011 Avg (June) 0.9977

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0992	1.0542	1.0700
February	1.0910	1.0571	1.0720
March	1.0928	1.0521	1.0770
April	1.0963	1.0737	1.0861
May	1.1210	1.0866	1.1030
June	1.1401	1.0873	1.1058
July	1.1081	1.0771	1.0854
August	1.0998	1.0831	1.0900
September	1.0968	1.0584	1.0766
October	1.0801	1.0644	1.0751
November	1.0873	1.0623	1.0721
December	1.0699	1.0480	1.0579