2016 KES to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1194 VUV

YEARLY LOW

1.0223 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0723 VUV

2016 KES to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 1.1194. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 9, dropping to 1.0223.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0971 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1035 to the December average rate of 1.0588, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1194 was down 4.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.1664, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,597 VUV

2015 Average 5,511 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 5,112 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 485.55 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1136

1.0435

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0906, compared to 1.0540 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0366 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0906

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0540

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.0539 VUV (High: 1.1162 / Low: 1.0623). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0125 VUV (High: 1.1130 / Low: 1.1005).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0539

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0125

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0296 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.1035) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1346), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0310 (-2.74%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.1035

2015 Avg (January) 1.1346

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1194	1.0882	1.1035
February	1.1130	1.1005	1.1078
March	1.1116	1.0610	1.0854
April	1.0810	1.0565	1.0662
May	1.1162	1.0623	1.0900
June	1.1104	1.0669	1.0908
July	1.0724	1.0507	1.0612
August	1.0727	1.0397	1.0493
September	1.0586	1.0414	1.0494
October	1.0609	1.0449	1.0522
November	1.0627	1.0223	1.0531
December	1.0762	1.0495	1.0588