YEARLY HIGH
4.0351 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.6760 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7972 UGX

2016 KPW to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KPW to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 4.0351. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 3.6760.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3591 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8281 to the December average rate of 4.0010, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.0351 was down 1.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.1038, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KPW based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,176 UGX
2015 Average 17,992 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 18,380 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,795.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.0298
3.6847
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KPW to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7567, compared to 3.8378 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0811 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7567
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8378

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1822 UGX (High: 4.0312 / Low: 3.8490). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0158 UGX (High: 3.7561 / Low: 3.7403).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1822
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0158

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0737 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0737

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4.0010) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.7340), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2670 (+7.15%).

2016 Avg (December) 4.0010
2015 Avg (December) 3.7340

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8682 3.7539 3.8281
February 3.8634 3.7270 3.8087
March 3.7515 3.7113 3.7350
April 3.7455 3.6760 3.7134
May 3.7626 3.6856 3.7158
June 3.7914 3.7174 3.7391
July 3.7764 3.7391 3.7549
August 3.7561 3.7403 3.7469
September 3.7625 3.7442 3.7567
October 3.8459 3.7544 3.8113
November 4.0312 3.8490 3.9560
December 4.0351 3.9472 4.0010