YEARLY HIGH
4.1317 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.9081 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9857 UGX

2021 KPW to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KPW to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 4.1317. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 3.9081.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2236 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1013 to the December average rate of 3.9502, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.1317 was down 5.15% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.3559, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KPW based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,659 UGX
2020 Average 20,649 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,541 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,117.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.1193
3.9040
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KPW to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0259, compared to 3.9454 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0805 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0259
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9454

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.1001 UGX (High: 4.0325 / Low: 3.9324). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0165 UGX (High: 4.0763 / Low: 4.0598).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1001
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0165

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0817 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0817

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.1013) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.0872), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0141 (+0.35%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.1013
2020 Avg (January) 4.0872

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1317 4.0614 4.1013
February 4.0875 4.0666 4.0744
March 4.0763 4.0598 4.0686
April 4.0705 3.9732 4.0294
May 3.9943 3.9225 3.9478
June 3.9520 3.9081 3.9338
July 3.9611 3.9315 3.9454
August 3.9475 3.9222 3.9310
September 3.9557 3.9101 3.9219
October 4.0325 3.9324 3.9748
November 3.9778 3.9203 3.9493
December 3.9775 3.9327 3.9502