YEARLY HIGH
4.3559 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.0493 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1298 UGX

2020 KPW to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KPW to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 4.3559. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 4.0493.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3066 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0872 to the December average rate of 4.0725, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 4.3559 was up 3.68% compared to the 2019 peak of 4.2012, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KPW based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,780 UGX
2019 Average 20,581 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 20,246 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,533.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

4.2251
4.0586
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KPW to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1538, compared to 4.1058 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0480 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1538
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1058

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.2440 UGX (High: 4.3559 / Low: 4.1119). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0305 UGX (High: 4.2252 / Low: 4.1947).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2440
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0305

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0592 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0592

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 4.1849) against the same month in 2019 (average: 4.1168), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0681 (+1.66%).

2020 Avg (March) 4.1849
2019 Avg (March) 4.1168

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1239 4.0701 4.0872
February 4.1222 4.0716 4.0855
March 4.3559 4.1119 4.1849
April 4.2297 4.1694 4.2019
May 4.2252 4.1947 4.2112
June 4.1996 4.1340 4.1520
July 4.1418 4.0949 4.1151
August 4.1062 4.0660 4.0855
September 4.1310 4.0862 4.1076
October 4.1578 4.1018 4.1314
November 4.1561 4.1001 4.1229
December 4.1121 4.0493 4.0725