2018 KPW to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.3437 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4.0307 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.1403 UGX

2018 KPW to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KPW to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 4.3437. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 4.0307.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3130 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0441 to the December average rate of 4.1267, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.3437 was up 6.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.0721, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KPW based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,719 UGX

2017 Average 20,090 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 20,153 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,565.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.2867

4.0218

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KPW to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1105, compared to 4.1702 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0597 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1105

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1702

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.2405 UGX (High: 4.3337 / Low: 4.0932). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0354 UGX (High: 4.0666 / Low: 4.0313).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2405

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0354

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0909 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0909

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 4.2646) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.9887), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2760 (+6.92%).

2018 Avg (June) 4.2646

2017 Avg (June) 3.9887

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.0666	4.0313	4.0441
February	4.0706	4.0307	4.0439
March	4.1010	4.0458	4.0616
April	4.1289	4.0863	4.1073
May	4.1944	4.1210	4.1414
June	4.3437	4.1918	4.2646
July	4.3337	4.0932	4.1737
August	4.1890	4.0947	4.1448
September	4.2527	4.1823	4.2249
October	4.2496	4.1617	4.1984
November	4.1751	4.1192	4.1524
December	4.1553	4.1029	4.1267