YEARLY HIGH
4.2015 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.8422 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0983 UGX

2026 KPW to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the KPW to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 4.2015. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 3.8422.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3593 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9653 to the December average rate of 4.1591, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 4.2015 was up 1.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.1551, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KPW based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,008 UGX
2025 Average 20,009 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,211 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,796.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4.2074
3.9387
JanuMarcMayJuly

KPW to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0856, compared to 4.1364 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0509 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0856
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1364

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.2025 UGX (High: 4.2015 / Low: 3.9990). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 UGX (High: 4.1597 / Low: 4.1577).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2025
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0566 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0566

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 4.1430) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.0730), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0700 (+1.72%).

2026 Avg (March) 4.1430
2025 Avg (March) 4.0730

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0292 3.8422 3.9653
February 4.0041 3.9212 3.9611
March 4.2015 3.9990 4.1430
April 4.1734 4.0895 4.1306
May 4.1962 4.1526 4.1850
June 4.1888 4.0425 4.1283
July 4.1898 4.0567 4.1138
August 4.1597 4.1577 4.1591