2014 LRD to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

19.4663 BIF

YEARLY LOW

16.6523 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.6218 BIF

2014 LRD to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the LRD to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 19.4663. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 16.6523.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8140 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.5066 to the December average rate of 17.1046, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 19.4663 was down 8.61% compared to the 2013 peak of 21.3005, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 97,331 BIF

2013 Average 101,196 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 83,261 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,070.06 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

19.0449

16.7070

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.2492, compared to 16.9945 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2548 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.2492

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.9945

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was June, with a trading range of 1.6413 BIF (High: 18.7002 / Low: 17.0589). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1194 BIF (High: 17.1242 / Low: 17.0048).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.6413

November Spread (Stable) ±0.1194

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6996 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6996

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2014: 18.8501) against the same month in 2013 (average: 20.9501), the exchange rate shifted by -2.1000 (-10.02%).

2014 Avg (March) 18.8501

2013 Avg (March) 20.9501

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	19.1528	18.0952	18.5066
February	18.2014	17.9666	18.1411
March	19.4663	18.1252	18.8501
April	18.3434	17.9755	18.1504
May	19.1134	17.9058	18.2598
June	18.7002	17.0589	17.5876
July	17.1992	16.6523	16.9019
August	17.0036	16.6632	16.9128
September	17.0250	16.8544	16.9304
October	17.2142	16.7642	17.0430
November	17.1242	17.0048	17.0741
December	17.2136	16.9912	17.1046