YEARLY HIGH
14.5495 BIF
YEARLY LOW
10.9587 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.4448 BIF

2018 LRD to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LRD to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 14.5495. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 17, dropping to 10.9587.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5908 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.8996 to the December average rate of 11.4693, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 14.5495 was down 24.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 19.3925, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 72,747 BIF
2017 Average 83,554 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 54,793 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,954.02 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

14.2402
11.1514
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.4282, compared to 11.4614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9668 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.4282
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.4614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 1.0334 BIF (High: 12.9061 / Low: 11.8727). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2378 BIF (High: 13.6110 / Low: 13.3732).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.0334
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2378

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0438 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0438

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 13.9828) against the same month in 2017 (average: 17.9708), the exchange rate shifted by -3.9880 (-22.19%).

2018 Avg (February) 13.9828
2017 Avg (February) 17.9708

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.3643 13.6348 13.8996
February 14.5495 13.5219 13.9828
March 13.6110 13.3732 13.4754
April 13.6449 13.3529 13.5148
May 13.5423 12.7931 13.2370
June 12.9061 11.8727 12.4597
July 11.7964 10.9587 11.4159
August 11.7655 11.4282 11.5701
September 11.5226 11.0981 11.4687
October 11.5919 11.3022 11.4356
November 11.5882 11.1852 11.4088
December 11.6091 11.2989 11.4693