YEARLY HIGH
9.5467 RSD
YEARLY LOW
8.5014 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.0307 RSD

2011 MAD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MAD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 9.5467. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 20, dropping to 8.5014.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0453 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.3861 to the December average rate of 9.2346, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 9.5467 was down 5.81% compared to the 2010 peak of 10.1357, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,734 RSD
2010 Average 46,099 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 42,507 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,226.53 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

9.4592
8.5822
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.0147, compared to 9.0466 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0319 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.0147
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.0466

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.5109 RSD (High: 9.0159 / Low: 8.5050). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1748 RSD (High: 9.2978 / Low: 9.1230).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.5109
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1748

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2756 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2756

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 9.3861) against the same month in 2010 (average: 8.5811), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8050 (+9.38%).

2011 Avg (January) 9.3861
2010 Avg (January) 8.5811

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.5467 9.2052 9.3861
February 9.2978 9.1230 9.1899
March 9.2724 9.0516 9.1465
April 9.1045 8.7262 8.9309
May 8.8240 8.5014 8.6553
June 9.0159 8.5050 8.7797
July 9.2209 8.8071 9.0085
August 9.1729 8.8717 9.0150
September 9.1388 8.8335 8.9514
October 9.1055 8.8120 8.9345
November 9.3371 8.8553 9.1357
December 9.5262 9.0988 9.2346