YEARLY HIGH
11.6236 RSD
YEARLY LOW
10.5356 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.0849 RSD

2017 MAD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the MAD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 11.6236. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 10.5356.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0880 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.5693 to the December average rate of 10.6596, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 11.6236 was down 0.45% compared to the 2016 peak of 11.6756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,118 RSD
2016 Average 56,724 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 52,678 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,440.13 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

11.6640
10.5683
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.4391, compared to 10.7306 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7085 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.4391
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.7306

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was June, with a trading range of 0.2748 RSD (High: 11.2141 / Low: 10.9392). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0955 RSD (High: 10.7922 / Low: 10.6966).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2748
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0955

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2461 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2461

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 11.5693) against the same month in 2016 (average: 11.3900), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1794 (+1.57%).

2017 Avg (January) 11.5693
2016 Avg (January) 11.3900

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.6236 11.5082 11.5693
February 11.6179 11.5077 11.5727
March 11.6012 11.4931 11.5437
April 11.5929 11.3639 11.5067
May 11.4025 11.1883 11.3067
June 11.2141 10.9392 11.1357
July 10.9916 10.7643 10.8896
August 10.7957 10.5971 10.7096
September 10.7572 10.6360 10.6847
October 10.7922 10.6966 10.7396
November 10.7578 10.6484 10.7007
December 10.7460 10.5356 10.6596