YEARLY HIGH
11.0627 RSD
YEARLY LOW
10.4650 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.7095 RSD

2023 MAD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MAD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 5, valuing the pair at 11.0627. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 16, dropping to 10.4650.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5977 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.6344 to the December average rate of 10.6898, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 11.0627 was down 3.52% compared to the 2022 peak of 11.4658, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,314 RSD
2022 Average 54,998 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 52,325 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,988.55 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

10.9207
10.5212
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6453, compared to 10.7737 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1284 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6453
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.7737

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 0.4218 RSD (High: 11.0364 / Low: 10.6146). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1972 RSD (High: 10.7713 / Low: 10.5741).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4218
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1972

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1383 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1383

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 10.8874) against the same month in 2022 (average: 11.2514), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3640 (-3.23%).

2023 Avg (July) 10.8874
2022 Avg (July) 11.2514

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.7572 10.4822 10.6344
February 10.7157 10.4784 10.6439
March 10.6767 10.4692 10.6004
April 10.7492 10.4650 10.5545
May 10.8417 10.5802 10.6785
June 10.8752 10.6325 10.7599
July 11.0627 10.7205 10.8874
August 11.0364 10.6146 10.8586
September 10.8617 10.6425 10.7365
October 10.9430 10.6351 10.8041
November 10.7713 10.5741 10.6658
December 10.7786 10.5326 10.6898