YEARLY HIGH
11.2113 RSD
YEARLY LOW
10.4037 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.8637 RSD

2020 MAD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MAD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 11.2113. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 10.4037.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8076 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.0208 to the December average rate of 10.7558, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 11.2113 was up 0.40% compared to the 2019 peak of 11.1667, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 56,057 RSD
2019 Average 54,727 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 52,019 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,037.99 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

11.1765
10.6332
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.9249, compared to 10.8025 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1224 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.9249
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.8025

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.6661 RSD (High: 11.2113 / Low: 10.5452). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1196 RSD (High: 10.9420 / Low: 10.8225).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.6661
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1196

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3057 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3057

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 10.9842) against the same month in 2019 (average: 10.8639), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1204 (+1.11%).

2020 Avg (March) 10.9842
2019 Avg (March) 10.8639

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.0726 10.9010 11.0208
February 11.1883 11.0579 11.1312
March 11.2113 10.5452 10.9842
April 10.9537 10.5032 10.6785
May 11.0387 10.7875 10.9417
June 10.8754 10.7184 10.7928
July 10.8178 10.6050 10.7486
August 10.8400 10.6615 10.7698
September 10.8957 10.7323 10.8179
October 10.9347 10.7651 10.8546
November 10.9420 10.8225 10.8684
December 10.8246 10.4037 10.7558