YEARLY HIGH
7.7660 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.0187 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5658 RUB

2014 MAD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MAD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 7.7660. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 4.0187.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7474 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0944 to the December average rate of 6.2971, the exchange rate registered a net change of 53.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 7.7660 was up 92.60% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.0322, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,830 RUB
2013 Average 18,954 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 20,093 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,736.78 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

6.5174
3.8741
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2751, compared to 4.8565 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5813 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2751
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8565

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 2.0519 RUB (High: 7.7660 / Low: 5.7141). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1058 RUB (High: 4.3698 / Low: 4.2639).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.0519
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1186 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1186

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 6.2971) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.0051), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2920 (+57.23%).

2014 Avg (December) 6.2971
2013 Avg (December) 4.0051

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2646 4.0187 4.0944
February 4.4199 4.2045 4.2922
March 4.5266 4.3156 4.4464
April 4.4503 4.3066 4.3844
May 4.4096 4.1526 4.2658
June 4.2602 4.0919 4.1676
July 4.2751 4.1280 4.1964
August 4.3698 4.2639 4.3138
September 4.5194 4.2987 4.4120
October 4.9105 4.5234 4.6774
November 5.6427 4.8726 5.2422
December 7.7660 5.7141 6.2971