YEARLY HIGH
10.2336 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.5599 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.4477 RUB

2023 MAD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MAD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 10.2336. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 6.5599.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6737 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8369 to the December average rate of 9.0695, the exchange rate registered a net change of 32.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 10.2336 was down 29.17% compared to the 2022 peak of 14.4471, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,168 RUB
2022 Average 34,698 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 32,799 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,368.59 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

9.9662
6.5525
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.5830, compared to 9.3124 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.7294 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.5830
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.3124

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 1.0500 RUB (High: 8.9750 / Low: 7.9251). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3648 RUB (High: 7.5827 / Low: 7.2179).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.0500
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3648

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5332 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5332

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2023: 9.6817) against the same month in 2022 (average: 5.8410), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8407 (+65.75%).

2023 Avg (August) 9.6817
2022 Avg (August) 5.8410

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.0554 6.5599 6.8369
February 7.3039 6.8735 7.1368
March 7.5827 7.2179 7.3932
April 8.1232 7.5827 7.9971
May 8.0412 7.5785 7.8319
June 8.9750 7.9251 8.3022
July 9.5128 8.9661 9.3054
August 10.2336 9.3744 9.6817
September 9.6905 9.3163 9.4543
October 9.9132 9.0309 9.4484
November 9.1029 8.7135 8.9152
December 9.3187 8.8303 9.0695