YEARLY HIGH
7.4810 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.0468 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.6851 RUB

2018 MAD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MAD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 7.4810. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 6.0468.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4342 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.1239 to the December average rate of 7.0874, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.4810 was up 16.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.4247, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,405 RUB
2017 Average 30,071 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 30,234 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,171.07 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.2928
6.0176
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.3927, compared to 6.9776 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5849 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.3927
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.9776

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.6443 RUB (High: 6.8652 / Low: 6.2209). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1130 RUB (High: 6.1764 / Low: 6.0634).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.6443
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1130

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2405 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 7.1866) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.1537), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0328 (+16.78%).

2018 Avg (September) 7.1866
2017 Avg (September) 6.1537

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1764 6.0634 6.1239
February 6.3153 6.0468 6.1875
March 6.3019 6.1396 6.2207
April 6.8652 6.2209 6.5966
May 6.8153 6.4698 6.6170
June 6.6922 6.5324 6.6104
July 6.7290 6.5429 6.6451
August 7.2503 6.6579 7.0051
September 7.4810 6.9660 7.1866
October 7.0748 6.8499 6.9461
November 7.1241 6.8976 6.9950
December 7.2981 6.9391 7.0874