YEARLY HIGH
8.3028 RUB
YEARLY LOW
5.9348 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.8381 RUB

2016 MAD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 8.3028. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 5.9348.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3679 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.7283 to the December average rate of 6.1354, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.3028 was up 12.05% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.4099, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,514 RUB
2015 Average 31,416 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 29,674 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,839.75 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.0745
5.9591
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1999, compared to 6.4763 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7235 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1999
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4763

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.9470 RUB (High: 8.3028 / Low: 7.3558). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2018 RUB (High: 6.4766 / Low: 6.2747).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.9470
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2018

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.7377 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7377

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 7.7283) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.8400), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8882 (+12.99%).

2016 Avg (January) 7.7283
2015 Avg (January) 6.8400

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.3028 7.3558 7.7283
February 8.2398 7.6231 7.8983
March 7.4516 6.9545 7.1606
April 7.1122 6.7088 6.8957
May 6.9638 6.7269 6.8152
June 6.8679 6.5250 6.7010
July 6.7782 6.4162 6.5633
August 6.8475 6.5861 6.6689
September 6.7555 6.4773 6.6345
October 6.4766 6.2747 6.3764
November 6.6286 6.3417 6.4793
December 6.3938 5.9348 6.1354