YEARLY HIGH
7.2373 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.4181 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.7289 RUB

2019 MAD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MAD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 7.2373. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 6.4181.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8192 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.9992 to the December average rate of 6.5323, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 7.2373 was down 3.26% compared to the 2018 peak of 7.4810, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,187 RUB
2018 Average 33,437 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 32,091 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,096.01 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

7.0459
6.4856
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.7939, compared to 6.6638 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1302 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.7939
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6638

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.3882 RUB (High: 7.2373 / Low: 6.8491). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0878 RUB (High: 6.6704 / Low: 6.5826).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3882
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0878

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1623 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1623

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 6.9992) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.1239), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8753 (+14.29%).

2019 Avg (January) 6.9992
2018 Avg (January) 6.1239

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.2373 6.8491 6.9992
February 6.9800 6.8368 6.8952
March 6.8946 6.6559 6.7870
April 6.7753 6.6241 6.6995
May 6.7774 6.6409 6.7094
June 6.7672 6.5758 6.6734
July 6.6622 6.5414 6.5958
August 6.9792 6.6708 6.8710
September 6.9179 6.5717 6.7087
October 6.7242 6.6103 6.6593
November 6.6704 6.5826 6.6155
December 6.6625 6.4181 6.5323