YEARLY HIGH
119.4833 BIF
YEARLY LOW
99.3095 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
111.0224 BIF

2014 MDL to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 119.4833. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 99.3095.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 20.1738 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 117.5348 to the December average rate of 101.4669, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 119.4833 was down 8.77% compared to the 2013 peak of 130.9729, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 597,416 BIF
2013 Average 618,386 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 496,548 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 100,868.79 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

119.1416
99.8601
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 114.7712, compared to 107.2736 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.4976 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 114.7712
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 107.2736

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 5.0406 BIF (High: 104.3502 / Low: 99.3095). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6257 BIF (High: 116.3547 / Low: 114.7291).

December Spread (Volatile) ±5.0406
April Spread (Stable) ±1.6257

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 3.7952 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7952

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 117.5348) against the same month in 2013 (average: 125.0546), the exchange rate shifted by -7.5199 (-6.01%).

2014 Avg (January) 117.5348
2013 Avg (January) 125.0546

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 119.4833 115.1923 117.5348
February 115.7590 113.7716 114.8906
March 117.1699 113.4908 115.5250
April 116.3547 114.7291 115.6253
May 115.9250 112.2125 113.9507
June 112.3827 109.8600 111.1009
July 111.8990 109.8341 110.9233
August 113.4348 109.9073 112.0754
September 110.3952 106.6342 108.2802
October 107.5398 103.8024 106.3931
November 106.3335 103.2244 104.5028
December 104.3502 99.3095 101.4669