2018 MDL to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

108.8337 BIF

YEARLY LOW

102.6106 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

105.8096 BIF

2018 MDL to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 108.8337. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 102.6106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.2230 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 104.0364 to the December average rate of 105.2504, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 108.8337 was up 4.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 103.8686, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 544,168 BIF

2017 Average 468,674 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 513,053 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 31,115.11 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

108.0854

103.6683

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 105.9244, compared to 105.6948 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2296 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 105.9244

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 105.6948

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 3.6162 BIF (High: 107.6181 / Low: 104.0020). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1469 BIF (High: 106.2943 / Low: 105.1474).

May Spread (Volatile) ±3.6162

September Spread (Stable) ±1.1469

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.4939 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4939

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 107.7173) against the same month in 2017 (average: 87.8508), the exchange rate shifted by +19.8665 (+22.61%).

2018 Avg (April) 107.7173

2017 Avg (April) 87.8508

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	106.1797	102.6106	104.0364
February	106.7923	105.0728	105.8490
March	107.9802	105.5806	106.6067
April	108.8337	106.5377	107.7173
May	107.6181	104.0020	106.2234
June	106.5343	104.0679	105.1137
July	107.6554	104.3789	106.0048
August	108.0256	105.5676	106.7554
September	106.2943	105.1474	105.6546
October	106.8461	103.3198	105.3167
November	106.8528	103.7904	105.1868
December	106.5417	103.6684	105.2504