2016 MDL to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

85.9155 BIF

YEARLY LOW

75.5317 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

81.3086 BIF

2016 MDL to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 25, valuing the pair at 85.9155. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 18, dropping to 75.5317.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.3838 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 76.8416 to the December average rate of 83.2705, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 85.9155 was down 14.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 100.5301, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 429,578 BIF

2015 Average 418,714 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 377,658 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 51,919.09 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

85.0772

76.0929

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 78.7703, compared to 83.8469 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.0766 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 78.7703

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 83.8469

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 7.8310 BIF (High: 85.9155 / Low: 78.0845). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8172 BIF (High: 84.7255 / Low: 83.9083).

June Spread (Volatile) ±7.8310

September Spread (Stable) ±0.8172

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5537 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5537

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 81.2145) against the same month in 2015 (average: 84.7075), the exchange rate shifted by -3.4931 (-4.12%).

2016 Avg (June) 81.2145

2015 Avg (June) 84.7075

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	79.1501	75.5317	76.8416
February	78.3061	76.9607	77.7155
March	80.2072	77.7759	78.9912
April	80.0334	78.3691	79.1093
May	79.5799	77.8357	78.7496
June	85.9155	78.0845	81.2145
July	84.4302	83.3016	83.8461
August	84.8806	83.8189	84.3004
September	84.7255	83.9083	84.3285
October	84.7771	83.1358	83.9448
November	84.4593	82.5720	83.3911
December	84.3129	82.4909	83.2705