2016 MDL to HKD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3975 HKD

YEARLY LOW

0.3764 HKD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3904 HKD

2016 MDL to HKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to HKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 0.3975. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 0.3764.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0210 HKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3828 to the December average rate of 0.3856, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3975 was down 20.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4970, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,987 HKD

2015 Average 2,072 HKD

Yearly Trough Low 1,882 HKD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 105.19 HKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3961

0.3816

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to HKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3905, compared to 0.3903 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3905

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3903

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0165 HKD (High: 0.3929 / Low: 0.3764). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 HKD (High: 0.3940 / Low: 0.3920).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0165

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0039 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0039

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.3949) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4310), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0361 (-8.38%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.3949

2015 Avg (April) 0.4310

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3929	0.3764	0.3828
February	0.3914	0.3830	0.3878
March	0.3970	0.3879	0.3927
April	0.3975	0.3931	0.3949
May	0.3949	0.3879	0.3921
June	0.3953	0.3904	0.3927
July	0.3948	0.3906	0.3924
August	0.3940	0.3920	0.3934
September	0.3941	0.3920	0.3930
October	0.3946	0.3867	0.3907
November	0.3919	0.3831	0.3868
December	0.3903	0.3832	0.3856