YEARLY HIGH
0.4680 HKD
YEARLY LOW
0.4420 HKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4535 HKD

2026 MDL to HKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MDL to HKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 29, valuing the pair at 0.4680. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 0.4420.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0260 HKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4620 to the December average rate of 0.4497, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.4680 was down 1.50% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.4751, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,340 HKD
2025 Average 2,255 HKD
Yearly Trough Low 2,210 HKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 129.98 HKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.4635
0.4448
JanuMarcMayJuly

MDL to HKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4553, compared to 0.4481 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0073 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4553
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4481

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 0.0157 HKD (High: 0.4613 / Low: 0.4456). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 HKD (High: 0.4503 / Low: 0.4494).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0157
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0098 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0098

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.4620) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.4196), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0424 (+10.11%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.4620
2025 Avg (January) 0.4196

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4680 0.4548 0.4620
February 0.4661 0.4561 0.4611
March 0.4582 0.4449 0.4513
April 0.4613 0.4456 0.4538
May 0.4569 0.4522 0.4543
June 0.4547 0.4420 0.4496
July 0.4493 0.4436 0.4464
August 0.4503 0.4494 0.4497