YEARLY HIGH
1.6908 HNL
YEARLY LOW
1.5136 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6027 HNL

2013 MDL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 30, valuing the pair at 1.6908. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 22, dropping to 1.5136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1771 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6407 to the December average rate of 1.5786, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.6908 was up 2.28% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.6531, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,454 HNL
2012 Average 7,984 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 7,568 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 885.61 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.6533
1.5588
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6104, compared to 1.5950 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0154 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6104
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5950

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.1050 HNL (High: 1.6186 / Low: 1.5136). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0171 HNL (High: 1.5851 / Low: 1.5680).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1050
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0171

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0427 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0427

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 1.6343) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.5401), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0941 (+6.11%).

2013 Avg (July) 1.6343
2012 Avg (July) 1.5401

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6537 1.6297 1.6407
February 1.6593 1.6179 1.6454
March 1.6232 1.5818 1.6027
April 1.5851 1.5680 1.5762
May 1.6186 1.5136 1.5666
June 1.6423 1.6199 1.6307
July 1.6908 1.6045 1.6343
August 1.6298 1.5954 1.6063
September 1.6115 1.5810 1.5916
October 1.6034 1.5573 1.5796
November 1.5905 1.5635 1.5796
December 1.6128 1.5543 1.5786